The U.S. telecommunications market has always been one under extreme operational and technology flux, but the current fluxing is at a level I can’t remember having seen over the past couple of decades and has teed up the potential for chaos that I am here for.
Here’s where the flux has led us as we march toward the end of 2025.
Mobile carrier heavyweights Verizon and T-Mobile US just changed their leadership, with the former doing so under seeming duress and the latter’s move taking it away from its “un-carrier” leadership track.
Verizon framed its move under the need to be more competitive in the market, shaking off what has been perceived as an aloofness under former CEO Hans Vestberg and toward a more consumer-friendly growth demeanor under new CEO Dan Schulman. The new leader has so far provided only a glimpse of what’s to come, but that seems to indicate a focus on broadband, AI, and uncertainty.
All of this also comes as Verizon is scraping together $20 billion to purchase Frontier Communications in a move to bolster its position in the fixed-broadband and connectivity space.
T-Mobile US is seemingly doing the reverse in that it’s politely handed the reigns from long-time CEO Mike Sievert, who had previously served as chief marketing officer during the carrier’s un-carrier marketing blitz, to Srini Gopalan, who had previously served as head of Deutsche Telekom’s business unit. Oh, and all of this comes as T-Mobile US has just spent billions of dollars to get into the fixed-broadband and connectivity space.
AT&T, which is the carrier that just a few years ago was forehead deep in debt and operational uncertainty following its attempt to be a media powerhouse, is now seemingly the telecom industry benchmark for stability. A benchmark that CEO John Stankey cooly used during the carrier’s last earnings call to downplay concerns over leadership changes at AT&T’s most direct rivals.
“We're focused on what we need to do to operate our business every day right now,” Stankey said seemingly stoically on that question. “We don't have those distractions that others have, and I know what I'm entirely focused on, which is making sure that the management team understands their priorities and executes … and that's all we're worried about. We're not worried about your question.”
Stankey might not be the most rambunctious speaker, but he does get to the point.
Oh, and almost forgot: AT&T is also in the middle of expanding its fixed-broadband and connectivity footprint. (Sensing a theme here?)
But wait … there’s more!
That alone would be enough sauce to set up an exciting 2026, but the past few months have also seen other drastic happenings.
EchoStar/Dish Wireless/Charlie Ergen Co., which was our promised fourth facilities-based nationwide wireless operator, is almost through a spectrum clearinghouse sale that will see it quickly become basically a proxy shareholder for whatever SpaceX ends up doing.
(Speaking of SpaceX, I have no idea what’s happening over there, and if you think you do, well … good for you.)
A good chunk of that EchoStar/Dish Wireless/Charlie Ergen Co. sale went to AT&T, which forked over $23 billion for a load of wireless spectrum, an amount Stankey coldly admitted was high.
And then there are the cable providers that have somehow gone from being broadband powerhouses to now relying on growth from their mobile virtual network operator (MVNO)-based services to garner any attention.
Even better, as shown by investments from Verizon, T-Mobile US, and AT&T, the wireline-based connectivity market is now the place to be, with established players like Lumen Technologies and Zayo betting big on the AI economy.
It’s been a crazy year!
The best part of all of these moves is that these companies are not the high-margin technology firms garnering all the limelight with their AI-fueled trillion-dollar valuations and incestual investment “strategies.” These are firms that own and run the plumbing for connectivity that is vital to everything from public safety, AI everything, and the sharing of cat videos. (One of those things is important.)
That means that these decisions and moves have a more immediate impact on operations. Analysts will parse through all comments and numbers with a microscope in an attempt to glean any sort of insight into future direction.
But, this parsing will come above a need for these connectivity providers to continue running complex logistical and financial businesses through a morass of economic uncertainty.
In a sympathetic way, I should hope that all of the moves that were made this year provide for a bit less stress heading into 2026, but I can’t see that happening. If anything, next year will set a new bar when it comes to the Dan Meyer Chaos-O-Meter.
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